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Drew Timme and the (#9) Gonzaga Bulldogs (12-3) will go to the San Francisco Dons (11-6) on Thursday night time.
Drew Timme posted a 35-point, 10-rebound efficiency in a 111-88 dwelling win over Pepperdine to assist prolong the Bulldogs’ successful streak to seven video games. Six Bulldogs sat in double-figures with 2020 high prospect Julian Strawther simply behind Timme with 22 factors on 8-of-13 capturing.
Regardless of enjoying within the West Coast Convention, the Bulldogs have had one of the vital demanding schedules this season, enjoying the likes of Michigan State, Texas, Kentucky, Purdue, Xavier, Baylor, and Alabama.
Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Betting Odds
Odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook
Since beginning the season 7-1, San Francisco has been inconsistent, beating UNLV on the highway however shedding to UT Arlington and San Diego at dwelling. Chris Gerlufsen is in his first season on the helm for the Dons after Todd Golden parlayed his success in San Fran into the pinnacle teaching job in Florida.
Two-time All-WCC and three-year starter Khalil Shabazz paces the staff in scoring, whereas Washington State switch Tyrell Roberts and former Nevada ahead Zane Meeks additionally sit in double-figures. Texas A&M switch Marcus Williams can be within the combine.
ShotQuality Story of the Tape
Under, we are going to spotlight important ShotQuality information for this matchup, together with Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a participant’s common ShotQuality factors per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Complete SQpoints/Complete No. of Possessions.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs personal a 1.14 AdjOFF SQ this season, good for twelfth within the nation. San Francisco has the 129th-best AdjDEF SQ at 0.95. Gonzaga does nicely in all key stats, however in spacing the place they’re within the twenty second percentile, and rim & three charge, the place they rank 240th within the nation. Conversely, the Dons are within the high 60 in each these defensive metrics.
The Bulldogs personal high-frequency numbers in lower, ending on the rim, isolation, post-up, and transition shot varieties. They’re within the high 150 in all these shot varieties however rank within the high 50 in post-up and isolation. Conversely, the Dons are within the high 150 in all these classes besides in isolation and transition, rankings exterior the highest 240.
The San Francisco Dons have a 1.01 AdjOFF SQ, the 164th-best mark within the nation. Gonzaga has posted a 0.95 AdjDEF SQ this season, clocking in at 51st within the nation. The Dons are within the high 30 in spacing and rim and three charge. The Bulldogs are within the 67th percentile in defensive spacing and strong in defensive rim and three charge.
San Francisco is within the nation’s high half in frequency concerning the next shot varieties: catch & shoot three-pointers, half-court, isolation, off-the-dribble three-pointers, off-screen, and decide & roll ball display. As well as, San Fran ranks within the high 100 in isolation and display units. Gonzaga is within the backside 100 in defending all these shot varieties.
Gonzaga vs. San Francisco Prediction
Gonzaga’s SQ PPP numbers may very well be higher, however in addition they do not take into account the SOS. Their key metric numbers recommend they’re a extra balanced staff. Nevertheless, they need assistance to comprise a strong San Fran offense in tonight’s matchup.
It ought to be a packed home for this late-night WCC matchup, and the Dons ought to flip up as they attempt to upset the front-runner within the convention. That mentioned, they nonetheless want a solution for Timme, that means they might want to put factors on the board if they’re to hold with the Bulldogs. So take the over and count on a shootout on this one.
Prediction: Over 156.5 (-110)
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